AYVID · AI-Native Hedge Fund

Intelligent
Decisions.

Asymmetric  Yield  Via  Intelligent  Decisions

An AI-native hedge fund. Swarms of LLM agents read every 10-K, earnings call, and SEC filing in real time, trace the consequences through a live causal graph of the global economy, and size, hedge, and route the trades — end-to-end, no humans on the trade path.

Live · IB Paper+43.6% walk-forward 2018 → 2025Neo4j · causal graph
Live engine · IB PaperCausal graph

Operations console

Trading the second-order
consequences, live.

Each panel below is wired to the same engine that places the trades. Walk-forward 2018 → 2025 across 20 named historical shocks. No hindsight. No staging data.

  • LangGraph swarm
  • Neo4j live graph
  • IB execution
  • C++ kill-switch
Causal supply-chain graphLangGraph agent swarmNeo4j live topologyEnd-to-end executionReal-time SEC + 10-K parseSub-100ms tier-1 hedge20 global indices · 24/5Walk-forward 2018→2025C++ kill-switch watchdog
Open to allocator capital

Hello — we are AYVID.

An AI-native hedge fund built end-to-end around causal reasoning. We don’t bolt LLMs onto a quant stack. We use them to find strategies that didn’t exist before.

About the firm
Causal AIAgent swarmsLangGraphNeo4jFastAPIInteractive BrokersWalk-forward backtestsRisk-limited execution
  • AYVID founded

    Apr 2026

    Engine v0 · modular monolith

  • Causal graph + agent swarm

    Apr 2026

    Neo4j + LangGraph integration

  • IB Paper · live shock catalog

    Apr 2026

    20 named shocks · walk-forward

  • YC S26 · seed conversations

    In progress

    Allocator outreach

Process is everything.

A simple, four-stage pipeline that turns unstructured language into structured, sized, risk-limited orders.

See the architecture
01Step 01

Ingest the world

Live SEC filings, earnings calls, central-bank prints, OPEC headlines, social-media noise. NER + embedding indexes everything in seconds.

02Step 02

Map the consequence

A live Neo4j graph of suppliers, customers, indices, and shared inputs propagates each shock N hops outward to find the unobvious beneficiaries and victims.

03Step 03

Decide with a swarm

Four LLM specialists — Strategist, Mapper, Auditor, Supervisor — debate every signal. Bayesian reconciliation across them is how we estimate conviction.

04Step 04

Execute end-to-end

Sized, hedged, risk-limited orders route to Interactive Brokers in under 100 ms. A C++ kill-switch watchdog can flatten the book in milliseconds.

Capabilities, not promises.

See it live
  • Causal supply-chain graph

    Live Neo4j topology of suppliers, customers, indices, and shared inputs. Shock propagation in milliseconds.

  • Agent-swarm research

    Four LLM specialists debate each signal. Disagreement is itself a signal that the trade is fragile.

  • End-to-end execution

    From 8-K to broker order in one modular monolith. No humans on the trade path. Tier 1 sub-100ms.

  • Risk-first by design

    Independent C++ kill-switch watchdog. Position-level VaR, drawdown, and concentration limits enforced pre-trade.

Walk-forward backtestsLive shock catalog · 20 eventsMulti-broker adapterReal-time PnL attributionOperations consoleResearch notes

What separates us from a traditional fund.

Most quants will bolt LLMs onto an existing book. We started from language and worked outward to execution. The architecture is the edge.

AYVID

Causal reasoning

We trace each shock through suppliers, customers, and indices. We trade the unobvious second-order beneficiaries.

Traditional fund

Factor regression

Lagged factors, momentum residuals, value premia. Linear models on non-linear consequences.

AYVID

Agent swarms

Four specialists debate every signal. Disagreement is conviction-discounted.

Traditional fund

Single research analyst

One PM's mental model bottlenecks the entire firm. Disagreement is dampened, not measured.

AYVID

End-to-end automation

8-K to broker order in one system. No humans on the trade path. Risk pre-checked.

Traditional fund

Human in the loop

Analysts hand-off to traders. Latency in seconds-to-minutes. Behavioural drift in execution.

AYVID

Verifiable in operations

Live shock catalog, walk-forward equity curves, runner status — all reproducible from the console.

Traditional fund

Quarterly tear sheets

Aggregated, smoothed, lagged. Hard to attribute alpha to actual decisions.

All figures are verifiable in the console.

Verify live
  • 20
    Named historical shocks
    studied 2018 → 2025
  • 4
    Specialist agents
    per signal decision
  • <100
    ms tier-1 execution
    to interactive brokers
  • 8 yr
    Out-of-sample span
    walk-forward, no peeking

The thesis, in other people’s words.

  • RFS · AI-native hedge funds

    The next Renaissance, Bridgewater, and D.E. Shaw will be built on AI. The biggest funds will be slow to adapt.

    CH

    Charlie Holtz

    Y Combinator · Request for Startups

  • RFS · Strategy generation

    The alpha is in using AI to come up with strategies that didn’t exist before — language comprehension, causal reasoning across thousands of filings.

    CH

    Charlie Holtz

    Y Combinator · Request for Startups

  • Internal · Causal edge

    Causal inference on supply chains is the most underweighted edge in markets. The data has been there for years; the reasoning hasn’t.

    Wn

    Working note

    AYVID Research · 2026

Questions, answered.

Most of what we hear from allocators on the first call falls into one of these. The rest is in the operations console.

Ask another
Two tracks. (1) Equities across a dynamically screened universe of ~50 names — long/short via shock-driven, causal beneficiaries. (2) Index F&O across ~20 global indices for hedged macro exposure. The operations console shows live positions and signal sources.
Causal reasoning over a live supply-chain graph. When a shock arrives, agents propagate it N hops to find unobvious beneficiaries and victims, then size the trade against historical co-movement. The edge is in the second-order chain, not the first headline.
No. Tier 1 (deterministic, < 100 ms) routes orders. Tier 2 (causal graph, ~1 s) re-weights conviction. Tier 3 (LLM swarm, ~30 s) can override — emit, modify, or cancel — but is never a blocker for the fast path.
Position-level VaR, drawdown, concentration, and exposure limits are enforced pre-trade. An independent C++ kill-switch watchdog runs in its own process and can flatten the entire book in milliseconds if it detects anomalies.
Production engine, IB Paper-traded, walk-forward backtested 2018→2025 across 20 named historical shocks. We are running paper for the seed round and intend to convert to a regulated structure with first allocator capital.
We are selective by design. The fastest path is the contact form on /contact — please include AUM, mandate, and the typical allocation size you consider for early managers.

Two ways in. Both start with a conversation.

Allocator track

Live operations review.

For LPs, family offices, and YC partners. Walk through the live shock catalog, signal book, and IB Paper trades. Sign an MNDA for equity-curve and risk-figure access.

Research track

Notes, methodology, and the engine roadmap.

Public research notes on causal inference, agent-swarm calibration, and walk-forward methodology. No live PnL.